BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 30 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (6-1) Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength =  167.11

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Home    W   157.37  48   7   1B  96 (  4-  8) Colgate                -8.99 *   49.99                      
  2 09/14/2019 Away    W   165.02  30  23   1A  69 (  5-  7) Colorado               -1.35      8.35                      
  3 09/20/2019 Away    L * 156.41  19  30   1A  33 ( 12-  2) Boise St               -9.95     -1.05                      
  4 09/27/2019 Home    W   162.97  41  24   ZZ   1 (  5-  7) San Jose St            -3.39     20.39                      
  5 10/05/2019 Away    L   163.42  25  34   1A  24 ( 11-  2) Navy                   -2.95     -6.05                      
  6 10/12/2019 Home    W * 169.80  43  24   1A  80 (  4-  8) Fresno St               3.44     15.56                      
  7 10/19/2019 Away    W * 187.52  56  26   1A  71 ( 10-  5) Hawaii                 21.16      8.84                      
  8 10/26/2019 Home    W * 175.15  31   7   1A  81 (  7-  6) Utah St                 8.79     15.21                      
  9 11/02/2019 Home    W   153.35  17  13   1A  88 (  5-  8) Army                  -13.01     17.01                      
 10 11/16/2019 Away    W * 165.45  38  21   1A  98 (  4-  8) Colorado St            -0.91     17.91                      
 11 11/23/2019 Away    W * 161.46  44  22   1A 119 (  2- 10) New Mexico             -4.90     26.90                      
 12 11/30/2019 Home    W * 169.35  20   6   1A  61 (  8-  5) Wyoming                 2.99     11.01                      
 13 12/27/2019 Neutral W   175.43  31  21   1A  37 (  6-  7) Washington St           9.07      0.93                      
      Averages             166.36  34.1 19.8

Best game:  187.52 = 30 point win over Hawaii
Worst game: 153.35 = 4 point win over Army
Team stdev:   9.24